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Wednesday, September 15, 2004


KEEPING TRACK: POLLS UPDATE, BUSH GETS BIG BOUNCE IN NEW YORK STATE BUT WILL IT LAST? 



Start spreading the news, Kerry's N.Y. lead has shrunk



President Bush got a big bounce in Democratic New York state. While it is safe to assume that Kerry will win New York it is notable that his sizable lead has been cut in half. It is also important to remember how big the gap was when Al Gore carried New York in the 2000 election.

2000 Election
Gore 60%, Bush 35%


Even President Bush's job approval ratings have gone up in New York. Here are the latest numbers reported by ABCNEWS.com.

Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Sep. 15: Kerry 47, Bush 41
Aug. 13: Kerry 53, Bush 35

Sep. 15: Bush job approval, 43
Aug. 13: Bush job approval, 37


Marist College's Institute for Public Opinion
Sep. 15: Kerry 48, Bush 40
Aug. 13: Kerry 53, Bush 35

Sep. 15: Bush job approval, 40
April : Bush job approval, 38


According to ABCNEWS.com, "Statewide, there are five Democrats for every three Republicans. No Republican presidential candidate has carried New York state since Ronald Reagan did in 1980 and 1984."

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