Sunday, November 07, 2004


New York turned a shade of red in last week's election

New Yorkers are depressed right now. You've read in the newspapers how they are upset about President Bush's re-election. I've seen the looks on people's faces as they trudge around the City with a collective frown. Wednesday morning was a surreal one for John Kerry's voters. Upper West Side liberals spat out their coffee when they saw the New York Times banner headline announcing Bush's big night - it wasn't a nightmare, after all. Downtown, the professional protesters, embittered artists, satirists, art gallery owners, and cartoonists didn't know what to do with their collections of Bush photos laced with Hitler mustaches. Saddam Hussein can not be set free for at least another four years, you know. That's the New York we've been hearing about the last week. I've seen it for myself, it's definitely there.

However, New York City possesses a sinister, deep and dark secret. There is something else lurking in shadows scattered throughout the 5 boroughs. If you listen closely, you can hear the whispers and sometimes it even sounds like restrained glee. Tourists do not know anything about this secret because the locals have done a good job of shielding the bad and seedy side of this crystal-blue city. I am going to let you in on the secret because New York has to face its demons whether or not it is wallowing in a collective Gotham funk.

There are Republicans in New York. Shhh, not so loud! Okay, not close to a majority, but the GOP is not an endangered species like the do-do bird is in Central Park. The fact is that 544,359 votes were cast for President Bush in New York City. That is more than votes cast for Bush in the entire states of Alaska, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota, West Virginia and Wyoming. Those 10 states accounted for 39 electoral votes.

Democrats have said that since New York City was hit hardest by 9/11 that Americans should notice how New York voted for President. Indeed, by looking at the election results from 2000 and 2004 you will notice that Bush INCREASED his vote percentage in New York City and the New York suburbs that are in immediate proximity to the city.

Dubya's popular vote improvement in the New York City area must not be ignored. Trying as hard as they can, New Yorkers can no longer hide their shameful secret.

Gore 86.3% 265,801
Bush 11.8% 36,245

Kerry 82.3% 260,438
Bush 16.7% 52,752

Gore 80.6% 497,468
Bush 15.7% 96,605

Kerry 74.1% 468,403
Bush 24.8% 156,612

Gore 79.8% 449,300
Bush 14.2% 79,921

Kerry 81.7% 468,841
Bush 16.6% 95,362

Gore 75.0% 416,967
Bush 22.0% 122,052

Kerry 70.8% 393,482
Bush 28.0% 155,363

Staten Island
Gore 51.9% 73,828
Bush 45.0% 63,903

Kerry 42.1% 62,603
Bush 56.7% 84,270

Gore 57.9% 341,610
Bush 38.5% 226,954

Kerry 52.2% 312,388
Bush 46.6% 278,727

Gore 53.4% 306,306
Bush 42.0% 240,992

Kerry 49.0% 303,375
Bush 48.7% 301,710

Gore 58.6% 218,010
Bush 37.5% 139,278

Kerry 57.8% 199,649
Bush 40.6% 140,282

New York City 2000: 398,726
New York City 2004: 544,359
Difference: +145,633

NY Suburbs 2000: 607,224
NY Suburbs 2004: 720,719
Difference: +113,495

New York City 2000: 1,703,364
New York City 2004: 1,653,767
Difference: -49,597

NY Suburbs 2000: 865,926
NY Suburbs 2004: 815,412
Difference: -50,514

Bush dramatically increased his vote total in the New York metropolitan area. John Kerry did not even garner as many votes that Al Gore did despite the diminished presence of Ralph Nader. Bush increased his vote total in all 8 counties. Kerry suffered a net loss from 2000 in all 8 counties except for Manhattan (Ralph Nader got 5.5% of the Manhattan vote in 2000 but about 1% in 2004, helping Kerry get a slight bump).

Conventional wisdom was that Bush would lose the New York vote by an even wider margin than he did in 2000 because New Yorkers feel that they are less safe due to the president's foreign policy. The perception is that Bush alienated our allies and emboldened terrorists. Thus, liberals claim Bush made New York City an even richer target for a devastating attack.

But, the numbers don't lie. Bush increased his support in New York City and its suburbs. These are the voters who live, work and raise their families in New York. The fact is that Bush is more popular in the area that was hardest hit by the September 11 attacks.

Liberal New Yorkers like to blame the red states, evangelical Christians, and "dumb hicks" for helping Bush retain the White House. But, it was Americans of all stripes, from Alaska to Kansas to Brooklyn, who supported President Bush in larger numbers than they did 4 years ago. The truth is that the chattering class liberals are not only out of touch with America's heartland but they are just as clueless about their own neighbors in New York City and its suburbs.

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Source: You can find results from all election results from the excellent and indispensable website, Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, at http://www.uselectionatlas.org/

Update: New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut: The Suburbs are Blue With a Touch of Red has further analysis of the following counties; Rockland, Orange, Putnam (N.Y.); Bergen, Hudson, Essex, Passaic, Morris, Union (N.J.); Fairfield, Litchfield, New Haven (CT). Bush enjoyed wider support in all 12 of these counties while Kerry did not do as well as Gore.



"Show me a good loser and I'll show you a loser" - Jimmy Carter

Liberals are very good at teaching us a thing or two. The following articles provide 13 salient lessons...

The New York Times: On the Avowed Left Coast, a Feeling of Being Left Out

1) Something's rotten in San Francisco, the city's mayor is "powerless."
While the American heartland found great comfort in the president's re-election, there was melancholy and stunned disbelief in San Francisco and other cities along the avowedly left West Coast. "There is a sense of helplessness that we couldn't tip the election in any way," said Mayor Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, who helped to push gay marriage into the national spotlight. "We couldn't do it rhetorically or in an actual vote. You feel powerless."

2) Denial is not a river in Egypt, it flows through Portland, Oregon
Given the gravity of things, there was really only one thing that Wilder Schmaltz, a 25-year-old Portland artist who had refused to remove the anti-Bush button from his lapel, felt he could do. He called a friend and headed straight to the Red and Black Cafe, an all-organic, wheat-free, vegetarian coffee and food shop, which is run as a collective and is a popular hangout of the Socialist Party USA's candidate for president, Walt Brown. "I figured that in this place we wouldn't run the risk of being around any cheering Republicans," Mr. Schmaltz said.

3) It was over when the tanks surrounded the White House
Her friend Tracy Conklin, 45, a freelance writer and photographer, was equally dark, concluding that there was no hope and only isolation for those on the left. "I am prepared to keep my head down, possibly for the rest of my life, under a totalitarian regime," Mr. Conklin said.

4) She felt safer when Bill Clinton was capturing terrorists like Elian Gonzalez
"It just made me cry," Terry Mitchell, 54, an audiologist in Oakland, said of Mr. Bush's re-election. "I am sad that America is asleep at the wheel."

5) Disown your mother when things don't go your way
For Ohioans living in on the West Coast, it was a particularly tough day. Jennifer Sloan, 29, was so incensed about Ohio's support of Mr. Bush that she had considered canceling her mother's visit. Ms. Sloan's mother was arriving in San Francisco on Wednesday from Alliance, Ohio, where she lives and where she voted for Mr. Bush. "I am depressed, but I am also just really angry at the rest of the country's ignorance," Ms. Sloan said.

6) I couldn't have said it better myself, pal. You just won a brand-new SUV.
Mr. Rubin had been convinced that after four years of the Bush presidency, the country would come around and see things as he and other far-left coasters see them. Instead, he admitted with bitterness, the election appeared not to be a repudiation of Mr. Bush's foreign and economic policies, but rather values associated with hippies, gay activists, atheists and double-latte liberals who populate his city and many others on the lip of the Pacific Ocean. "Maybe I'm on the wrong side of the culture war," Mr. Rubin said.

The New York Times: A Blue City (Disconsolate, Even) Bewildered by a Red America

1) Fog develops over the Hudson River, continental United States is isolated
Striking a characteristic New York pose near Lincoln Center yesterday, Beverly Camhe clutched three morning newspapers to her chest while balancing a large latte and talked about how disconsolate she was to realize that not only had her candidate, John Kerry, lost but that she and her city were so out of step with the rest of the country.

"Do you know how I described New York to my European friends?" she said. "New York is an island off the coast of Europe."

2) This is what it sounds like when doves cry
Some New Yorkers, like Meredith Hackett, a 25-year-old barmaid in Brooklyn, said they didn't even know any people who had voted for President Bush. (In both Manhattan and the Bronx, Mr. Bush received 16.7 percent of the vote.)

3) You must forget that the 9/11 victims came from all 50 states
"Everybody seems to hate us these days," said Zito Joseph, a 63-year-old retired psychiatrist. "None of the people who are likely to be hit by a terrorist attack voted for Bush. But the heartland people seemed to be saying, 'We're not affected by it if there would be another terrorist attack.'"

4) It's also okay when doctors jump to conclusions while making a diagnosis
"I'm saddened by what I feel is the obtuseness and shortsightedness of a good part of the country - the heartland," Dr. Joseph said. "This kind of redneck, shoot-from-the-hip mentality and a very concrete interpretation of religion is prevalent in Bush country - in the heartland. New Yorkers are more sophisticated and at a level of consciousness where we realize we have to think of globalization, of one mankind, that what's going to injure masses of people is not good for us," he said. Dr. Joseph acknowledged that such attitudes could feed into the perception that New Yorkers are cultural elitists, but he didn't apologize for it. People who are more competitive and proficient at what they do tend to gravitate toward cities," he said.

5) Roberta Cohn hates her friends. She never listens to what they say.
His friend, Ms. Cohn, a native of Wisconsin who deals in art, contended that New Yorkers were not as fooled by Mr. Bush's statements as other Americans might be. "New Yorkers are savvy," she said. "We have street smarts. Whereas people in the Midwest are more influenced by what their friends say. They're very 1950's," she said of Midwesterners. "When I go back there, I feel I'm in a time warp."

6) John Kerry was born in a log cabin. I bet you didn't know that.
Mr. Murphy said he understood why Mr. Bush appealed to Southerners in a way that he did not appeal to New Yorkers. "Even though Bush isn't one of them - he's a son of privilege - he comes off as just a good old boy," Mr. Murphy said.

7) Imagine if her son came out of the closet and said he is a Republican.
As an example, Ms. Camhe offered the different attitudes New Yorkers may have about social issues like gay marriage. "We live in this marvelous diversity where we actually have gay neighbors," she said. "They're not some vilified unknown. They're our neighbors."


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