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Tuesday, November 16, 2004


NEW YORK, NEW JERSEY AND CONNECTICUT: THE SUBURBS ARE BLUE WITH A TOUCH OF RED 


President Bush and his policies received strong support from many unlikely areas



Last week, The Galvin Opinion reported that President Bush's 2004 New York City vote total was an improvement of 145,000 votes from the previous election in 2000. He enjoyed a 114,000 popular vote increase in the New York suburban counties of Nassau, Suffolk and Westchester.

The interesting findings, published in New York in a Bush State of Mind: The City is a Little More Red Than You Think, received attention from a wide variety of blogs.

Here is further information on how George W. Bush enjoyed increased support throughout the tri-state area surrounding New York City. In many cases, John Kerry got less votes than what Al Gore had in 2000.

The Galvin Opinion looked at 12 counties from 3 states that surround New York City and its immediate suburbs. President Bush increased his share of the vote in every county. John Kerry did not match Al Gore's percentage share in any of the counties. Bush even won 2 of the counties that he lost 4 years ago.

New York: Counties of Rockland, Orange and Putnam
Bush lost Rockland County in 2000 but won it in 2004. Dramatically increased margins of victory in Orange and Putnam counties.

New Jersey: Counties of Bergen, Hudson, Essex, Passaic, Morris and Union
Bush increased his percentage of votes in each of the 6 counties that are closest to New York City. Kerry was not able to match Gore's percentage results in any of the 6 counties despite Ralph Nader's disappearance from the New Jersey ballot

Connecticut: Counties of Fairfield, Litchfield and New Haven
Bush lost Litchfield County in 2000 but won it in 2004.


NEW YORK
Rockland
Gore 56.7% 69,530
Bush 39.5% 48,441
Nader 2.9% 3,502
Other 0.9% 1,107

Kerry 48.6% 59,326
Bush 49.7% 60,627
Other 1.6% 2,004

Orange
Gore 46.0% 58,170
Bush 49.7% 62,852
Nader 3.3% 4,192
Other 1.1% 1,343

Kerry 43.5% 58,944
Bush 54.9% 74,397
Other 1.5% 2,066

Putnam
Gore 43.5% 18,525
Bush 51.4% 21,853
Nader 4.1% 1,730
Other 1.0% 439

Kerry 41.3% 18,067
Bush 57.4% 25,147
Other 1.3% 583


NEW JERSEY
Bergen
Gore 55.3% 202,682
Bush 41.6% 152,731
Nader 2.6% 9,688
Other 0.4% 1,620

Kerry 51.6% 192,827
Bush 47.7% 178,304
Other 0.7% 2,577

Hudson
Gore 70.6% 118,206
Bush 26.2% 43,804
Nader 2.7% 4,436
Other 0.5% 915

Kerry 66.7% 113,603
Bush 32.6% 55,530
Other 0.7% 1,206

Essex
Gore 71.5% 185,505
Bush 25.8% 66,842
Nader 2.2% 5,641
Other 0.6% 1,585

Kerry 69.7% 191,999
Bush 29.4% 80,822
Other 0.9% 2,453

Passaic
Gore 57.7% 90,324
Bush 39.0% 61,043
Nader 2.4% 3,752
Other 0.9% 1,454

Kerry 55.2% 91,934
Bush 44.2% 73,568
Other 0.7% 1,127

Morris
Gore 42.6% 88,039
Bush 53.8% 111,066
Nader 3.1% 6,333
Other 0.5% 1,070

Kerry 41.3% 90,476
Bush 57.9% 126,761
Other 0.8% 1,685

Union
Gore 60.1% 112,003
Bush 36.8% 68,554
Nader 2.7% 4,945
Other 0.5% 871

Kerry 58.7% 112,542
Bush 40.5% 77,621
Other 0.7% 1,411


CONNECTICUT
Fairfield
Gore 52.3% 193,769
Bush 43.1% 159,659
Nader 3.4% 12,664
Other 1.1% 4,197

Kerry 51.4% 205,866
Bush 47.3% 189,582
Other 1.4% 5,459

Litchfield
Gore 47.9% 41,806
Bush 44.9% 39,172
Nader 6.2% 5,413
Other 1.1% 947

Kerry 46.2% 44,644
Bush 51.9% 50,158
Other 1.9% 1,861

New Haven
Gore 58.0% 197,928
Bush 36.0% 122,919
Nader 4.6% 15,567
Other 1.4% 4,685

Kerry 54.3% 198,957
Bush 43.8% 160,364
Other 1.9% 6,946

BUSH
New York Counties 2000: 133,146
New York Counties 2004: 160,171
Difference: +27,025

New Jersey Counties 2000: 504,040
New Jersey Counties 2004: 592,606
Difference: +88,566

Connecticut Counties 2000: 321,750
Connecticut Counties 2004: 400,104
Difference: +78,354

GORE/KERRY
New York Counties 2000: 146,225
New York Counties 2004: 136,337
Difference: -9,888

New Jersey Counties 2000: 796,759
New Jersey Counties 2004: 793,381
Difference: -3,378

Connecticut Counties 2000: 433,503
Connecticut Counties 2004: 449,467
Difference: +15,964

Kerry got fewer votes than Gore did in the New York and New Jersey counties. Kerry did improve on Gore's output in Connecticut by 15,964 but Bush did much better than Kerry him by increasing his Connecticut vote total by 78,354.

Once again, Democrats should stop pointing fingers at the Midwest, Southern and Sun Belt states for Bush's victory because they fail to realize that their neighbors turned in impressive numbers for the president as well.

The president did receive a mandate because he increased his support in both Republican "red" and Democratic "blue" states. The mainstream media likes to say that America is a "polarized" electorate. However, Bush's broad-based support shows that he receives support in many corners. The people have spoken.


Source: You can find results for all election results from the excellent and indispensable website, Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, at http://www.uselectionatlas.org/


See: NEW YORK IN A BUSH STATE OF MIND: THE CITY IS A LITTLE MORE RED THAN YOU THINK


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